NM-Sen: SUSA has Udall up by 25
by mcjoan
Fri May 16, 2008 at 11:25:05 AM PDT
SUSA. 5/12-14. MoE 2.3%
Pearce (R) 36
Udall (D) 60
Wilson (R) 35
Udall (D) 61
The undecideds in this poll are amazing, just 4% agasint Pearce and 3% against Wilson, an remarkably tiny margin six months before an election. Udall's appeal is practically universal:
Udall leads among both men and women, young and old, white and Hispanic, regardless of opponent. 1 in 4 Republicans cross over and vote Democrat; 1 in 10 Democrats cross over to vote Republican.
Udall is unopposed in NM's June 3 primary, while Pearce and Wilson duke it out. SUSA identified a subset of Republican likely voters in this poll. The race is within the margin of error of 4.8%, with Pearce leading 49-46. Again, there's just a 2% undecided. Pearce has gained 12 points since the Republican race was last polled by SUSA six months ago. Wilson has lost 10. Neither has been able to secure outgoing Sen. Domenici's endorsement, and won't before the primary. Pearce is calling himself the only "true conservative" in the race, while Wilson is tryng to pas herself off as a moderate, "common sense" Republican.
Which has brought the Club for Growth into the mix with a $200K ad buy attacking Wilson for supporting S-CHIP.
So this should be fun. The NM Republicans appear to be on track to nominate the CfG's guy, the extremist who would be weakest against Udall. This one is looking very good for the Dems. Pajama Pete's long Congressional tenure is at an end, and it's looking more and more like Heather Wilson's is, too. Just the icing on the cake.
Race tracker wiki: NM-Sen
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